论文标题:淮河流域水资源的可持续发展与管理
Sustainable Development and Management of Water Resources in the Huaihe River Basin
论文作者 王九大
论文导师 金琼；汪安南,论文学位 硕士,论文专业 管理科学与工程
论文单位 河海大学,点击次数 77,论文页数 92页File Size3417k
2001-05-06论文网 http://www.lw23.com/lunwen_160004392/ 可持续发展,流域管理,水资源
sustainable development;basin management;water resources
水是生物圈内生命系统和非生命系统的组成要素，是经济和社会发展的重要基础资源。人类文明与水息息相关，最早的文明就是流域文明。水资源不仅是生产的主体，还是生产的载体，又是人类良好环境的最根本基础。目前我们所面临的三大水问题 （即洪涝灾害、干旱缺水、水环境恶化)是随着人口增长、经济发展、社会进步逐步显露并被人们所逐步深化认识的。从长远的观点来看，社会经济的发展、环境的改善都与水资源的开发利用密切相关。我国政府在制定的“十五”计划纲要中指出：“水资源可持续利用是我国经济社会发展的战略问题”。探讨淮河流域的水资源与可持续发展之间的关系，是客观科学地分析流域水资源未来发展趋势的需要，是保证未来流域经济、社会、环境可持续发展的需要，是流域可持续发展的理论研究和实际应用的需要，对于促进淮河流域社会、经济、环境的协调发展具有十分重要的意义。 本论文从淮河流域水资源善、问题、发展趋势预测入手，通过对流域可持续发展战略的要领和研究方向的探讨，重点论述了流域水资源与可持续发展的相互关系。在此基础上，运用模型和仿真技术对流域水资源可持续发展系统和策略进行了实证研究，并提出了具体的政策建议。最后，作者结合可持续发展的管理思想，对水资源流域管理的运行机制、存在问题和战略设想进行了认真细致地分析，并提出了加强流域管理的合理化建议。其内容主要包括以下几个方面： 1、从流域可持续发展的观点出发，论述了水资源与流域可持续发展之间的关系，结合淮河流域的现状以及水资源供需状况，对影响流域可持续发展和水资源供需矛盾进行了L晚防警都悄断翻究，提出了协调发展的基本思想。 2、1ijlffiDj09！nimasex）ffs％MW…，itdebftlaareftw料，以仍阈励妇霎赠剜限，就淮河励功现貂载或款以掴附和疲遍好析，为指导一。 3、MWWgitslwtW，XtOKWB6uK一一并————，——一供一、－。 4、一 3HjilllgZifi；iqln1LIPnn＄④一AIKlrrsRttiTNliilaslFw Wrfi：Imewe＠x）RIEI｝rrtoc～’wtr－－，ffMJI］sffiD7tlPew
Water is one of components in life-system and non-life-system within biological cycle as well as an important basic resource for economic and social development Human civilization is closely relative to water, fee initial of which is derived from river basins. Water resources are not only the majority and agent of production, but also the fundamental components of good environment for human inhabiting. With population growing, economical development and social progress, the three water issues we are now meeting, which are flooding, drought and water shortage, and water pollution, are more and more serious, and which we have been perceiving. In the long run, the development of society and economy and improvement of environment are all closely relative to utilization of water resources. In the Outline of the 10th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development (2001-2005) , fee central government points out "Sustainable utilization of water resources is a strategic problem for our national development of social economy". Research on fee relationship between water resources and sustainable development in fee Huaihe River Basin is fee demand for analyzing fee changes of water resources, for ensuring sustainable development of economy, society and environment in fee future and for studying and applying theories of sustainable development in the Basin. It is very important for promoting harmonious development of society, economy and environment Based on analysis of water resources and prediction of future demand for water resources, this article discussed and explained the relationship between water resources and sustainable development in trie Huaihe River Basin through research on sustainable strategies in society, economy and environment Then, the concrete policies are proposed after demonstrative researches on the sustainable strategies and sustainable systems of water resources utilization with use of model and simulative technology. Finally, the author analyzed the mechanism and the issues and strategic assume of water resources irmagementm the Basin carefully based on the sustainable strategies. And then how to strengthen Basin management is rationally proposed What the article focuses on are discussed as below.A In view of sustainable development in the Basin, the relationship between water resources and sustainable development of river basin was discussed Based on analysis of the situation of Huaihe River Basin and supply and demand of water resources, and research on the factors that affected sustainable development of river basin, the basic concept ofliarmonious development is proposedB. The methods of Basin Sustainable Development System and dynamic system analysis were used with the basin statistics information, which took water resources as regime factors. And then the article evaluated and quantitatively analyzed the sustainable development in fee Huaihe River Basin that will provide basis tor decision-making of sustainable development in basin.C. According to the simulative results, the evaluation and policy-analysis on situation and the future tendency of sustainable development in the Huaihe River Basin, and the research on the strategies of harmonious development were discussed in the article. It will provide scientific and quantitative policy basis for ensuring comprehensive utilization and management of water resources in the future.D. In view of sustainable development, the article analyzed and studied the basin problems of water resources we are meeting with in the Huaihe River Basin, and provided a new model of the basin water resources management for sustainable development and strengthening basin management in the future.
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