论文标题:天津市房地产发展对策研究
A Countermeasure Study on Real Estate Industry in Tianjin City
论文作者
论文导师 汪波,论文学位 硕士,论文专业 工商管理
论文单位 天津大学,点击次数 91,论文页数 64页File Size2391K
2006-06-01论文网 http://www.lw23.com/lunwen_494970277/
Housing Development; Demand Forecast; Development Strategy
本文旨在预测天津住宅产业发展的趋势并研究其对策。全文共分四章。第一章从住宅这一特殊商品的功能、特点分析入手,分析其在国民经济发展中的地位、作用和天津市住宅产业发展的现状。第二章研究市场分析的内容,住宅市场的特点,在对天津市住宅市场调查的基础上,对天津市住宅产业发展趋势做了定性预测。第三章,详细分析影响住宅需求的因素,利用多元回归方法建立了住宅总量预测模型。第四章,首先提出天津市住宅建设开发的策略,然后对住宅建设开发资金运行进行案例分析。本文依据本人多年来在天津市从事房地产开发的创业经历,并基于对我市房地产市场影响因素全面、系统的分析,对天津市住宅的需求进行了中、长期预测,对该市场的需求特点、消费心理和行为等进行了深入研究,在上述研究的基础上,基于我市房地产业特别是住宅的可持续发展的科学发展观,提出了具有前瞻性和较高实用性、可操作性的对策,为指导我市住宅行业健康发展提供了借鉴。
This thesis is aimed at exploring the trends and the ways for the housing industry development in Tianjin city. There are five chapters in the thesis. The functional characteristics of housing as one kind of special consumer commodities, the fole in national economic development and the current situations of housing industry development in Tianjin are presented respectively in the first chapter. In the second chapter, the contents of housing marketing and the characteristics of housing market are discussed. After that, the qualitative forecasts for housing industry development trends in Tianjin are performed, based on the study on existing housing market. All factors which are affecting the housing demand are argued in the third chapter, in addition to that the forecasting methodology for housing demand is reviewed and a multinomial regression model developed. In the fourth chapter after the development strategies for housing construction in Tianjin are discussed, a case study of investment operation for housing development is presented in the final chapter. According to editors’many years’experience on engaging in real estate exploitation and comprehensive & systemic analysis to the real estate market , the article make a medium and long term analysis on Tianjin residential demand and hold a deep research on the demand characteristic , consuming psychology and behavior of market, On the basis of above mentioned research and continuable developing scientific development point of view of Tianjin city’s real estate industry especially for residential area, which put forward a countermeasure with predictability , practicability and manipulatability, providing a good reference to guiding for the healthy development for our city’s residential industry .
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